EUR/USD's short-term bullish recovery is holding steady above the long-term 200-day MA at 1.4101, following the recent positive EU news. The move has temporarily neutralised the larger bearish downtrend from April.
Failure to hold above the 200-day MA will warn of an emotionally charged bull-trap and ultimately a sharp downside reversal through 1.3799 (26th Oct low) and 1.3653 (18th Oct low), with scope into 1.3146 (Oct swing low).