• 1,049 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,050 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,051 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,451 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,456 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,458 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,461 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,461 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,462 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,464 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,464 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,468 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,468 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,469 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,471 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,472 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,475 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,476 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,476 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,478 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold Stocks: Still a Bargain

We've been saying since September that gold producers are undervalued, and here are some data that show just how extreme the undervaluation is.

The following chart measures the stock prices of major and intermediate gold producers against their Net Asset Value, based on the daily price of gold. In the simplest terms, a company should be worth more as the product it sells rises in price faster than the cost of those sales. In this case, gold has doubled in price over the past three years while costs have not kept up, dramatically increasing the intrinsic value of a reasonably well-run gold producer. Yet look what the stocks have done when measured against this higher value.

Gold Stocks are Selling for Less Than NAV

In spite of a rising gold price, stock prices have steadily fallen. In fact, as the right axis shows, the industry is currently selling at a 20% discount to its Net Asset Value (as of October 21) - and historically, gold stocks trade at a premium.

Notice that gold stocks hit 1.6 times their NAVs just before the crash of 2008. Gold producers often trade at this level. If I'm right, companies will revert to historical premiums, meaning much higher stock prices than today.

These data don't tell us when prices will rise, nor do they signal that stocks can't trade lower. They are simply telling us that at this point in time, gold stocks represent a true bargain. Someday this won't be the case, and the opportunity to buy at current levels will be gone.

I'm convinced that in a year or two, we'll look back and be very happy with our positions.

 


Owning gold stocks is an excellent hedge against the wealth-robbing policies the US government is pursuing... but not just any gold stock has blockbuster profit potential. Learn how to protect yourself and invest wisely.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment