• 777 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 777 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 779 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,179 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,183 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,185 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,188 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,189 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,190 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,191 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,192 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,196 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,196 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,197 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,199 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,199 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,203 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,203 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,204 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,206 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

If Current Bank Credit Trends Continue, Bet Against the Fed's Interest Rate Forecast

If Current Bank Credit Trends Continue, Bet Against the Fed’s Interest Rate Forecast - Kasriel - Feb 7/12

A majority of FOMC members currently expect that the interest rate on federal funds (immediately-available overnight funds), an interest rate targeted and controlled by the Federal Reserve, will not be increasing until late in 2014. If the current trend in the behavior of bank credit continues in 2012 and into 2013, I believe that the FOMC will be lifting its federal funds rate target early in the second half of 2013. Again, if the current growth trend in bank credit continues, a failure on the part of the FOMC to raise its federal funds rate target and shrink its balance sheet will sow the seeds of a rate of consumer inflation above the FOMC’s 2% annualized target in 2014 and 2015.

If Current Bank Credit Trends Continue, Bet Against the Fed’s Interest Rate Forecast

 

Read the Report

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment