• 532 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 532 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 534 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 933 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 938 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 940 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 943 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 944 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 944 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 946 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 946 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 950 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 951 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 951 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 954 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 954 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 957 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 958 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 958 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 960 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

What Does Deleveraging Look Like

I have made a lot of reference to "deleveraging" within the current market and why it can often send false signals of strength as well as plain outright confusion between various asset classes. The following example I hope helps to clarify the point.

What does deleveraging look like? The two charts below show a "trade being put on" and a "trade being unwound." In this example the trade is long gold short equity. This is not necessarily endorsement of gold nor disdain for equity but speculation that gold will outperform equity. Similar trades may have been done for commodities especially during QE, silver, etc.

What this shows is that in a deleveraging or "selling of assets to get liquid" that false signals can appear. In this case many of the "short legs" of the trade, short equity is being unwound or in this case bought to cover putting a temporary bid into the stock market. Problem is once this process ends those "buyers of equity" are gone.

This unwind also helps explain the disorderly price action such as equity outperforming commodities or small and mid caps underperforming SPX.

Trade Being Put On - look at the five year weekly chart and how gold outperforms equity. Gold is being bought while equity being shorted.

Trade Being Taken Off - look at the six month daily chart and how gold underperforms equity. Gold is being sold while equity is being "bought to cover."

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment