• 945 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 945 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 947 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,347 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,352 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,354 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,357 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,357 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,358 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,360 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,360 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,364 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,364 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,365 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,367 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,368 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,371 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,372 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,372 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,374 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Trouble In Paradise

A chart is considered good when you do not have to add any commentary to make a point. The following is one such candidate.

Below is a chart of the spread between the volatility skew and the vix compared to the SPX. For those new to skew it simply measures the distribution of option implied volatility. When speculators price in tail events they buy out of the money options which "skews" or shifts the distribution of volatility from a normal bell curve.

To oversimplify skew one could argue it is an early warning system that tail events are being priced which likely will lead to a jump in volatility as measured by the vix. On Monday the skew did something pretty interesting while the vix dropped to a near six month low. The skew jumped 11.6% to 139.25 one of the highest levels on record (142.02 the record). The level is significant but more so is the rate of change as indicated on the chart below. This spread is greater than anytime during the 2008 equity selloff.

Skew VIX Dvergence versus SPX

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment