• 308 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 308 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 310 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 709 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 714 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 716 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 719 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 719 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 720 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 722 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 722 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 726 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 726 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 727 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 730 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 730 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 733 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 734 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 734 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 736 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Market At Critical Level

During the week-end, we wrote: "we want to analyze two different scenario:

- the market finds some support on Monday (around current levels) and climbs up to our target zone
- the market is not able to move into our target and breaks through our warning area (see chart)"

You can see on the Sigma Whole Market Index (see below) that the market closed:

- below our "warning area" (orange box)
- below the uptrend channel
- Thursday's top looks like a double top. It willbe confirmed if/when we decline below the horizontal purple line on the chart

Sigma Whole Market Index

Moreover, our Sigma Trend Index is now in negative territory (at -3').

The Swing indicator is at '2' for the second consecutive day. This tells us we are probably in presence of an impulsive move to the downside.

Sigma Table

Looking at our Breadth Index, we don't get any new information from this indicator, but the negative divergence confirmed on Friday is still in place (higher high on price (blue line), but lower high on Breadth (red)).

Market Breadth


We don't like this kind of situation where everything looks so clear, where everything goes in the same direction.

But the market went through all our limits, and we consider now there is a high level of probability (~=65%) that the massive decline is on its way.

In this context, we decided to open a short term position (to the short side) on the NDX at 2587.15.

We would not be surprised if the market tries to bounce back on Tuesday's morning, retesting 2605 on the NDX and 1356 on the SPX.

If the market closes below the horizontal purple line (see top chart) on Tuesday or on Wednesday, we will consider that the probability of our scenario becomes "very high" (~= 80%).

For those of you interested in our intraday move, you can visit our site during the day: we post all our trades in real time. You can also subscribe to our twitter account (@SigmaTradingOsc), it is free and you are updated on our latest view/trades.

Current positions:

Medium term positions:
- short 2 SPX at 1336.99
- short 1 NDX at 2578.46

Short Term positions:
- short 1 NDX at 2587.15


Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment