• 308 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 308 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 310 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 709 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 714 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 716 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 719 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 719 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 720 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 722 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 722 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 726 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 727 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 727 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 730 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 730 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 733 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 734 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 734 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 736 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

FAST Graphs

FAST Graphs

FAST Graphs

F.A.S.T. Graphs™ is a powerful research tool providing "essential fundamentals at a glance" on over 17,000 symbols. F.A.S.T. Graphs™ empowers the user to research stocks…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

General Mills Inc: Stock Research Analysis

General Mills Inc (GIS) is a high quality blue-chip dividend growth stock with a consistent long-term record of earnings growth averaging approximately 8% per annum.

About General Mills Inc: Directly from their website

"General Mills is one of the world's leading food companies, operating in more than 100 countries. Its brands include Cheerios, Fiber One, Häagen-Dazs, Nature Valley, Yoplait, Betty Crocker, Pillsbury, Green Giant, Old El Paso, and Wanchai Ferry. Headquartered in Minneapolis, MN, USA, General Mills had fiscal 2012 worldwide sales of US $16.7 billion."

Earnings Determine Market Price: The following earnings and price correlated F.A.S.T. Graphs™ clearly illustrates the importance of earnings. The Earnings Growth Rate Line or True Worth™ Line (orange line with white triangles) is correlated with the historical stock price line. On graph after graph the lines will move in tandem. If the stock price strays away from the earnings line (over or under), inevitably it will come back to earnings.


Earnings & Price Correlated Fundamentals-at-a-Glance

A quick glance at the historical earnings and price correlated FAST Graphs™ on General Mills Inc shows a picture of a stock that appears to be in-value based upon the historical earnings growth rate of 8.1% (orange circle) and a current PE of 15.3 (black circle). Analysts are forecasting the earnings growth to continue at about 7.5%, and when you look at the forecasting graph below, the stock appears in value, (it's inside the value corridor of the five orange lines - based on future growth).

General Mills Inc: Historical Earnings, Price, Dividends and Normal PE Since 1998

General Mills Inc.


Performance Table General Mills Inc

The associated performance results with the earnings and price correlated graph, validates the principles regarding the two components of total return; capital appreciation and dividend income. Dividends are included in the total return calculation and are assumed paid, but not reinvested.

When presented separately like this, the additional rate of return a dividend paying stock produces for shareholders becomes undeniably evident. In addition to the 5.5% capital appreciation (green circle), long-term shareholders of General Mills Inc, assuming an initial investment of $1,000, would have received an additional $572.20 in dividends (blue highlighting) that increased their total return from 5.5% to 7.2% per annum versus 3.9% (red circle) in the S&P 500.

General Mills Inc.

The following graph plots the historically normal PE ratio (the dark blue line) in conjunction with 10-year Treasury note interest. Notice that the current price earnings ratio on this quality company is as low as it has been since 1998.

General Mills Inc.

A further indication of valuation can be seen by examining a company's current price to sales ratio relative to its historical price to sales ratio. The current price to sales ratio for General Mills Inc is 1.52 which is historically normal.

General Mills Inc.


Looking to the Future

Extensive research has provided a preponderance of conclusive evidence that future long-term returns are a function of two critical determinants:

  1. The rate of change (growth rate) of the company's earnings
  2. The price or valuation you pay to buy those earnings

Forecasting future earnings growth, bought at sound valuations, is the key to safe, sound, and profitable performance.

The Estimated Earnings and Return Calculator Tool is a simple yet powerful resource that empowers the user to calculate and run various investing scenarios that generate precise rate of return potentialities. Thinking the investment through to its logical conclusion is an important component towards making sound and prudent commonsense investing decisions.

The consensus of 20 leading analysts (purple highlighting) reporting to Capital IQ forecast General Mills Inc's long-term earnings growth at 7.5% (orange circle). General Mills Inc has medium long-term debt at 44% of capital (red circle). General Mills Inc is currently trading at a P/E of 15.3, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, General Mills Inc's True Worth™ valuation would be $53.95 at the end of 2017 (brown circle on EYE Chart), which would be a 8.8% annual rate of return from the current price (yellow highlighting).

General Mills Inc.


Earnings Yield Estimates

Discounted Future Cash Flows: All companies derive their value from the future cash flows (earnings) they are capable of generating for their stakeholders over time. Therefore, because Earnings Determine Market Price in the long run, we expect the future earnings of a company to justify the price we pay.

Since all investments potentially compete with all other investments, it is useful to compare investing in any prospective company to that of a comparable investment in low risk Treasury bonds. Comparing an investment in General Mills Inc to an equal investment in 10 year Treasury bonds, illustrates that General Mills Inc's expected earnings would be 5.3 (purple circle) times that of the 10 Year T-Bond Interest. (See EYE chart below). This is the essence of the importance of proper valuation as a critical investing component.

General Mills Inc.


Summary & Conclusions

This report presented essential "fundamentals at a glance" illustrating the past and present valuation based on earnings achievements as reported. Future forecasts for earnings growth are based on the consensus of leading analysts. Although, with just a quick glance you can know a lot about the company, it's imperative that the reader conducts their own due diligence in order to validate whether the consensus estimates seem reasonable or not.

 


Disclosure: Long GIS at the time of writing.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment