EUR/USD moved higher than its short-term down trendline yesterday but failed to break the resistance at 1.2971 (25/09/2012 high). Monitor the test of the hourly support at 1.2876 (see also up trendline). Key horizontal support at 1.2755 (11/09/2012 low).
Despite the recent sharp rise from 1.2043, the long-term trend is still negative as long as the down trendline linking the May 2011 high with the August 2011 high (currently near 1.3284) holds.