• 929 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 929 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 931 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,331 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,335 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,337 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,340 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,341 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,342 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,343 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,344 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,348 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,348 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,349 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,351 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,351 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,355 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,355 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,356 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,358 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

A Little Fun for a Change - Try the Fed's Own Inflation Model

Confused about what the US Federal Reserve hopes to achieve with QE3? Now you can find out. Stand in for Chairman Ben Bernanke and play the new and exciting game that can be found on the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank's website "So You Want to be in charge of monetary policy".

Fed Game

Try pegging interest rates at 0.0% to 0.25% for 4 years (which is effectively what the Fed is in the process of doing). Tellingly, the game is only able to graph inflation rates up to 15% but using this approach I promise the numbers will be much higher.

My best score was a 36.87% annual inflation rate pegging the Federal Funds Rate to 0.25% for 48 months. Conveniently for the Fed's model, unemployment always fell to 1.5% in this high inflation world. In countless attempts the Fed's model never produced a stagflationary environment of high unemployment and high inflation. They seem unable to conceive of a world where the inflation they seek to create doesn't improve employment rates (i.e. doesn't stimulate the real economy). I think this may prove to be a bit of a blind-spot in central bank thinking.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment