• 519 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 519 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 521 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 920 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 925 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 927 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 930 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 931 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 931 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 933 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 933 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 937 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 938 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 938 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 941 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 941 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 944 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 945 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 945 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 947 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Ian Campbell

Ian Campbell

Through his www.BusinessTransitionSimplified.com website and his Business Transition & Valuation Review newsletter Ian R. Campbell shares his perspectives on business transition, business valuation and world…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

U.S. August Net Trade Deficit Reported at U.S.$44.2 Billion

The U.S. August net trade deficit has now been reported at U.S.$44.2 billion, with both imports and exports falling, but exports falling by a greater degree. For America, monthly net trade deficits are 'business as usual', and have been for over three decades. I continue to believe that where a country experiences continuing net trade deficits that leads to:

  • continuing weakness in comparative economic strength with its trading partners; and,

  • all other things equal, being a negative factor in revenue/expenditure balances at all government levels - and hence a negative contributor to government cumulative debt at all government levels.

For me, rightly or wrongly, a country's net trade surpluses or deficits are an important 'economic marker', notwithstanding it seems clear that many economists disagree with this.

The following two charts show U.S. net monthly trade deficits to July 31, 2012, and the build-up of U.S. cumulative net trade deficits to December 31, 2011 (note the chart heading incorrectly says 1979 - 2010 when it should say 1979 - 2011). The U.S. cumulative net trade deficit stood at U.S.$8.54 trillion at December 31, 2011, and at August 31, 2012 had increased by a further U.S.$378 billion (and is virtually certain to have exceeded U.S.$400 billion for the nine months ended September 30.

Note that almost 80% of the U.S. net cumulative trade deficit has been experienced in the post-1999 period, which period coincides with significant U.S. manufacturing job losses.

:U.S. Trade Deficit.tiff

:U.S. Net Cumulative Trade Deficit.tiff

If you believe the world and U.S. economies over time are appropriately reflected in the world's financial markets and market prices, I suggest you take careful note of these U.S. trade deficit statistics and continuing build-up of the U.S. cumulative net trade deficit.

Topical Reference: U.S. trade gap widens as exports fall again, from MarketWatch, Greg Robb, October 11, 2012 - reading time 2 minutes.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment