Commodity Prices

Gold •424 days	2,368.70	+35.30	+1.51%
Platinum •15 mins	1,367.70	-2.80	-0.20%
WTI Crude •13 mins	63.93	-0.08	-0.12%
Gasoline •27 mins	1.965	-0.004	-0.20%
Ethanol •424 days	2.161	+0.000	+0.00%
Silver •424 days	30.82	+1.16	+3.92%

Silver • 424 days	30.82	+1.16	+3.92%
Copper • 424 days	4.530	+0.111	+2.51%
Brent Crude • 11 mins	67.39	-0.09	-0.13%
Natural Gas • 12 mins	2.996	-0.001	-0.03%
Heating Oil • 20 mins	2.267	-0.003	-0.14%

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Christmas Rally Requires the SOX to Join In

By - Nov 29, 2012, 11:33 AM CST

The price action in the Phlx Semiconductor Index (SOX) is not looking good. Yet the SOX must rally for the Nasdaq to have a seasonal Christmas rally.

Large components are : INTC, AMD, MU, MRVL

We know that Intel has cut its guidance as .."the PC market is going into the toilet, and the global economy (ex-US) is plainly brutal". The performance of Intel (INTC) has been poor, therefore Intel needs to bounce to satisfy the need for a rally. They other question is can Apple Inc (AAPL) carry the NASDAQ all by itself? Watching and waiting.

The half cycle is when the cycle meets the zero line. When the half cycle is passed price action has little time to conform to the cycle dominance. If price action fails to conform then the cycle weakens.

(!SOX) Phlx Semiconductor Cycle Chart
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