USD/CAD is declining sharply after having moved above its resistance at 0.9962 (28/11/2012 high), which suggests a bearish trap. A test of the support at 0.9825 is expected. An hourly resistance can be found at 0.9910 (01/01/2013 low).
The underlying trend is negative (see mediumterm declining channel in the daily time frame). Therefore, we see the rise from 0.9633 (14/09/2012 low) as a countertrend move. A medium-term resistance is at 1.0250 (12/07/2012 high, see also declining trendline on a daily chart).