EUR/USD has broken to the downside out of its horizontal range between the support at 1.3159 and the resistance at 1.3308. Further short-term weakness is favoured as long as the hourly resistance at 1.3191 (intraday high) holds. Supports are given by the rising trendline and 1.3041 (13/12/2012 low).
The higher low in July 2012 (compared to July 2010) and the recent new high above the strong resistance at 1.3172 suggest an improvement of the underlying trend. A strong resistance is at 1.3487 (24/02/2012 high).