EUR/USD has broken the support at 1.3257 (16/01/2013 low) and its rising trendline. Monitor the test of the support at 1.3187 (50% retracement) as the next support would be at 1.2998 (04/01/2013 low). Hourly resistances can be found at 1.3291 (21/01/2013 high) and 1.3434 (20/02/2013 low).
In the bigger multi-week time frame we note that the higher low in July 2012 (compared to July 2010) and the recent new high above the strong resistance at 1.3487 (24/02/2012 high) indicates an improvement in the underlying trend. Still, the recent break of the support at 1.3257 (16/01/2013 low) opens the way for a move towards the key support 1.2998 (04/01/2013 low).