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China, Japan and Central Banking

Bill Laggner

Two-part video presentation with Special Guest Bill Laggner

With the aid of 77 slides, The Three-Way Round Table discusses the issues facing China and Japan in the context of Central Bank actions. The false perception of Central Bank omnipotence, both within these sovereign countries and globally is also explored.

Bill Laggner highlights some serious reservations he has about the prognosis for China and Japan based on the degree to which credit has expanded. This is a direct result of the Shadow Banking structures and invested in real estate construction, which he senses is now showing a top to be in.

China GDP per Capita

Many of the issues facing China are poorly understood due to opaque and misleading reporting, in addition to false perceptions by western investors.

China's GDP and Credit Boom


Overall Global Expectations for 2013

  1. Profit Recession Likely
  2. Expect Credit Spreads to Widen
  3. Sovereign Debt Levels to Continue to Increase Unabated
  4. Continued & Growing Fiscal Deficits Around the world
  5. Looming Tax Revenue Problems
  6. A Shrinking REAL Economy
  7. Profits have Peaked for this Cycle Fewer and
  8. Fewer Places to Speculate In the Chase for Yield

Investor confidence in the omnipotence of central bankers is misplaced in Bill's eyes, and investors will pay the price in the not to distant future.


PART I - China & Japan


25 Minutes, 34 Slides

 


PART II Central Banks: Perception of Omnipotence


27 Minutes, 43 Slides

 

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