• 556 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 557 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 558 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 958 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 963 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 965 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 968 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 968 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 969 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 971 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 971 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 975 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 975 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 976 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 978 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 979 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 982 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 983 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 983 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 985 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

SPX: Follow Up of the Short Term EWP

ANOTHER DAY ANOTHER NEW ALL TIME HIGH

Despite short term technical indicators remain overbought buyers are disrespectful that bulls cannot maintain for much longer winning "passes" (One-handed manoeuvers in bullfighting).

However, neither today we have any indication that the up leg from the April 18 low is over:

  • Yesterday's candlestick remains bullish and besides there is no nearby critical pivot support that could trigger sell stops. (The obvious one is at 1597)

SPX Daily Chart
Larger Image

  • In addition the internal structure of the advance from the April 18 low das not allow to have any confident count therefore atm it is like tossing a coin or guessing when the EWP will be done.

So far I have been considering two options either a Zig Zag (Red Count) or a Double Zig Zag (Blue count). Since the assumed wave (C) lacks of an impulsive sequence, in my opinion the Double Zig Zag is becoming the front-runner option. If this is the case the pattern still needs probably a shallow pullback wave (B) (With a bottom no lower than the rising trend line in force since the April 18 low) followed by the last wave (Y) up.

SPX 60-Minute Chart
Larger Image

Maybe the upper trend line of the channel which today stands at 1631 +/- will temporarily deter further advance.

SPX November Low Channel Chart
Larger Image

Even though the pattern of the current up leg is not clear I remain confident that price is not establishing any major top. I still expect that the next meaningful pullback will be bought, since it will be either a wave (B) or a wave (II) of an Ending Diagonal

As a reminder below I show you again the two potential counts that I am considering viable for the advance from the November lows:

  • Triple Zig Zag:

SPX Daily Triple Zig Zag Chart
Larger Image

  • Double Zig Zag:

SPX Daily Double Zig Zag Chart
Larger Image

Tomorrow I will not be able to publish the daily update.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment