• 321 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 322 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 323 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 723 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 728 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 730 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 733 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 733 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 734 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 736 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 736 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 740 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 740 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 741 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 743 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 744 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 747 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 748 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 748 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 750 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Chart of the Week Video: "What Should We Be Afraid Of?"

This week's Chart of the Week video looks at yields on the 10 year Treasury Bond (symbol: $TNX.X), and asks: "What should we be afraid of?"

So let's get technical.

Our basic set up is shown. This is a weekly chart. The red and black dots are key pivot points or the best areas of buying and selling. And this is your 40 week moving average.

Ever since clearing the low yield pivot point from 2008, yields have been moving aggressively higher ever since. (As an aside, we first chronicled this key point in a video back on May 12, 2013). After breaking above this key level, which was at 2.092% yield on the 10 year, yields have moved to the next resistance zone which is between 2.475% to 2.619%. I would suspect yields to consolidate or rest here at best because they are much overbought at present.

Of course, the spike in yields has investors in a tizzy as it appears to be a signal that the Federal Reserve is removing the monetary trough as the economy is on a firmer footing. Certainly, that is a possibility as stated in the May 12th video: "A key bogie for Treasury yields that would signal the economy is really on the mend is the late 2008 key pivot point low." So maybe we should take Bernanke at face value. The economy is improving and the Fed will begin its taper sooner rather than later.

But there is another fear out there, and one that the markets haven't confronted yet. What happens if yields break through current resistance levels and go even higher? This is certainly possible (at least based upon present technical considerations), and if it were to occur, yields would spike to 3.373% on the 10 year Treasury bond. I think this is the real risk for Treasury yields as there is a lot of room between current resistance levels and the next level up.

At present, rising yields are all the talk on Wall Street bubble vision. Yields should consolidate their recent move. A move higher looks possible, and if it occurs, it will be a doozy. This is what investors should be afraid of!

 


TacticalBeta offers a 21 day FREE TRIAL (no credit card required): 1 CLICK SIGN UP

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment