Guy Lerner

Tactical-Beta

Contributor since: 20 May 2013

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Biography

• Weekly Sentiment Report: The Price Cycle

  Published 02 February 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Introduction The price cycle is the path prices take from low to high and back to low again. I use investor sentiment to define the…

• Weekly Sentiment Report: Is This The End?

  Published 26 January 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Introduction Is the end of the rally that has lifted the markets for the last 5 months? Or is it the just the end of…

• Commodities

  Published 22 January 2014 | viewed 0 times

  A short video on how to interpret the Chart Books can be found here: CHART BOOK PRIMER Copper/ weekly Larger Image 1) Dr. Copper remains…

• Weekly Sentiment Report

  Published 21 January 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Introduction Last week's "Mixed Signals" seems to be reflective of the narrow 4 week trading range that the market now finds itself in. But clues…

• The Sentimeter: 9.22.13

  Published 22 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  The Sentimeter remains in neutral territory. Two weeks ago, the "dumb money" was extremely bearish, and this was a bull signal. Buying arrived where and…

• The Sentimeter: 9.8.13

  Published 10 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  The Sentimeter remains in neutral territory. The "dumb money" has turned extremely bearish and this is a bull signal. However, the Rydex market timers remain…

• $VIX: How Low Can It Go?

  Published 08 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  This week's Chart of the Week video looks at the $VIX and asks: How Low Can It Go? So let's get technical. This is a…

• The Sentimeter: 9.1.13

  Published 03 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past 4 weeks, The Sentimeter has gone from extreme bullish optimism to neutral. While the indicator did a good job alerting us to…

• Whatever Happened to Buy The F'ing Dip?

  Published 01 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  This week's Chart of the Week video looks at the equity market and asks: Whatever Happened to Buy The F'ing Dip? So let's get technical.…

• Relative Strength Indicator: TOP!

  Published 29 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the SP500. The indicator in the lower panel is a composite that looks at the relative strength of…

• Gold: Oversold Bounce or New Bull Market?

  Published 26 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  This week's Chart of the Week video looks at gold and asks the question: oversold bounce or new bull market? So let's get technical. Our…

• The Sentimter: 8.25.13

  Published 25 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past three weeks, The Sentimeter has gone from extreme bullish optimism to neutral. While the indicator did a good job alerting us to…

• Video of the Week: 10 Year Treasury Yields - How High?

  Published 19 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  This week's Chart of the Week video looks at yields on the 10 year Treasury Bond. So let's get technical. Our basic set up is…

• The Sentimeter: 8.18.13

  Published 18 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past two weeks, The Sentimeter has gone from extreme bullish optimism to neutral. While the indicator did a good job alerting us to…

• Inflation Pressures: Rolling Over

  Published 17 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  A composite indicator constructed from the trends in yields on the 10 year Treasury bond, gold and crude oil suggests that inflationary pressures are extreme…

• Real Time Recession Indicator: 8.14.13

  Published 15 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Our real time recession indicator is constructed from various leading economic indicators and two pricing models. The indicator continues to show that the US economy…

• The Sentimeter: 8.14.13

  Published 14 August 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past two weeks, The Sentimeter has gone from bullish optimism to extreme bullish optimism. There are a lot of equity bulls. Over the…

• Relative Strength Indicator: Points to Market Top

  Published 30 July 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the SP500. The indicator in the lower panel is a composite that looks at the relative strength of…

• The Sentimeter: 7.28.13

  Published 29 July 2013 | viewed 0 times

  The Sentimeter continues to show a high degree of bullish optimism. There are lots of bulls, and surprisingly, at this stage of the market cycle,…

• Video of the Week: A Noteworthy Negative Divergence

  Published 28 July 2013 | viewed 0 times

  This week's Chart of the Week video looks at the divergence between the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (symbol: HYG) and the…