• 1,117 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,118 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,119 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,519 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,524 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,526 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,529 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,529 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,530 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,532 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,532 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,536 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,536 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,537 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,539 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,540 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,543 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,544 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,544 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,546 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Is the Top Finally In For US 30 Year Bonds?

After hitting my long awaited target, the reversal we have seen over the past 12 months strongly suggests a multi-decade top is now in for bonds.

US Treasury Bond Chart 1
Larger Image

Looking at the internal structure of bonds, I suspect it's close to a decent bounce, so those that are short bonds (or long TBT) probably want to move your stops lower, as a decent bounce for wave 4 of [3] can see 137, that's a nasty move if you get short the lows.

Getting short near the lows is a dangerous method, as most times it tends to reverse and squeeze the bears that are late to the party.

In order to change the complexion of the decline, the bulls would need a move above 142; any bounce that stays below 137.50 (especially if a weak looking corrective advance) is a sell.

US Treasury Bond Chart 2
Larger Image

Long term it sure looks like a major high in place, so target the 100.00 area.

US Treasury Bond Chart 3
Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment