• 525 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 526 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 527 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 927 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 932 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 934 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 937 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 937 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 938 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 940 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 940 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 944 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 944 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 945 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 947 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 948 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 951 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 952 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 952 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 954 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Import Prices and the Renminbi - Let Sleeping Dogs Lie?

The chart below shows the behavior of U.S. import prices from the European Union, Japan and the Asian NICs (Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan) in recent years. Notice that the growth in import prices from the European Union has far outpaced that from Japan and the Asian NICs. Of course, the principal explanation for this is that the dollar has depreciated more in recent years against the European Union currencies than against the Asian currencies. And, of course, the principal reason for these differences in dollar depreciation is that the European Union central banks have not intervened to prevent the rise in their currencies whereas the Asian central banks have intervened. If China finally relents and allows the renminbi to appreciate against the dollar, there is a high probability that other Asian monetary authorities will allow more appreciation of their currencies versus the dollar, too. In 2004, about 20% of our goods imports originated from the European Union while 33% originated from the Pacific Rim. Thus, a given percentage depreciation of the dollar versus Asian currencies would likely put more upward pressure on import prices and consumer prices than would a depreciation against European Union currencies. For the sake of U.S. inflation and Fed rate hikes, let's hope the Chinese resist our self-destructive harangues. (For a like opinion on our self-destructive ways with regard to the renminbi, see Phillip Swagel's op-ed piece "Yuan Answers?" in the June 10th edition of The Wall Street Journal.)

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment