• 367 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 367 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 369 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 769 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 773 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 775 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 778 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 779 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 780 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 781 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 782 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 786 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 786 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 787 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 789 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 789 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 793 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 793 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 794 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 796 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Two Recent Cycles to Watch

Over the last several months two cycles have caught my eye. The first, and better known, is the seven year cycle (Figure 1). Since 1939 it has expanded or contracted beyond what could be called seven years only twice. As the last major high was in 2007, the next seven year cycle high is due this year, 2014.

Figure 1

Chart: seven year cycle

The second cycle is the Presidential Cycle. Looking at a chart showing the cumulative monthly return of the Dow during mid-term election years, 1901-2010 (not shown), a peak is expected in April. However, looking at a chart of mid-term elections taken solely from secular bear markets as defined by the Long Cycles of George Lindsay (1921-1942, 1962-1982, 2002-present) we see a top is due in February (Figure 2).

Larger Image

Figure 2

Secular Bear / Mid-term Election Years


I continue to look for an end to the 2009 bull market. Based on Lindsay's basic movements and Middle Section forecasts, I believe the top was seen on 12/31/13. But even if I'm wrong, the top isn't far away.


If you're wondering how 1921-1942 could be considered a secular bear market, that question will be the focus of the January Lindsay Report which is due this week. Acquire your copy at Seattle Technical Advisors.com.


Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment