• 316 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 316 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 318 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 717 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 722 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 724 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 727 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 727 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 728 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 730 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 730 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 734 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 735 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 735 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 738 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 738 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 741 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 742 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 742 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 744 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

The State of the Trend

At the end of last year we observed that following the December FED meeting the SPX is poised to burst out of the '09 weekly channel. Liquidity peaked on the last day of 2013:

SPX Chart
Larger Image

and Friday's sell off brought the index back within the weekly channel with first support at 1750:

SPX Chart 2
Larger Image

From a sentiment point of view, weekly bullish sentiment is testing the 75% level which hasn't been violated since January '13. A further deterioration in bullish sentiment should coincide with the SPX testing the regression line:

SPX Chart 3
Larger Image

In the sentiment department, we also monitor the VIX which gave us a timely early warning signal preceding the 50+ point drop:

VIX Chart
Chart courtesy of OddsTrader

GLD is showing signs of reversal but will remain in a vulnerable position until it manages to climb and stay above the 50% retracement level:

SPDR Gold Trust Weekly Chart
Larger Image

SLV didn't fare as well, and remains confined within both downtrend channels:

iShares Silver Trust Weekly Chart
Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment