• 657 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 658 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 659 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,059 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,064 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,066 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,069 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,069 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,070 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,072 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,072 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,076 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,076 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,077 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,079 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,080 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,083 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,084 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,084 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,086 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Breakout in Gold and Gold Miners!

Lately we've been writing about why we expected the rebound in precious metals to continue without any serious setbacks. After a major low, sentiment can remain muted for several months even in contrast to the improving market action. Yet, a look at history shows that rebounds from major lows can continue unabated and unscathed for more than a year. The rebound in precious metals thus far appears to be following this script. It has received a further boost with the breakout in Gold yesterday and as of now, the breakout in the gold miners.

First, let's take a look at Gold. The chart below highlights the importance of $1350-$1360 which was major trendline resistance since April 2013 and November 2012. With the breakout past $1360, the next key target is $1420. Gold has weekly resistance at $1400 so keep that in mind as well. If Gold can takeout $1420 convincingly on a weekly basis then it could have legs to $1500.

$GOLD - Spot Price (EOD) CME
Larger Image

Today we have the gold miners, both GDX and GDXJ breaking out of their consolidations. For several weeks both markets held in tight consolidations which appear to bullish flag continuation patterns. GDX's upside target is $31 while GDXJ could reach $53. The 400-day moving averages could intersect with these targets to form strong resistance.

GDX Market Vectors Gold Miners NYSE + BATS
Larger Image

The gold stock bull analog chart shows that this current recovery in the HUI Gold Bugs Index is very much in-line with historical recoveries. The current recovery is in blue.

Gold Stock Bull Markets Chart: HUI Analog & BGMI Analog
Larger Image

Last week we wrote:

It is incredibly difficult to buy at this juncture but, as we noted in our last editorial, the evidence favors doing so. Pullbacks, until we see much larger gains should be brief and should be used as an opportunity. ETFs such as GDX, GDXJ, and GLDX have spent the last 11 days consolidating and digesting gains.

When the market evolves according to your thesis you don't do anything. You sit tight until you decide to take profits or something changes. Considerable near-term upside potential remains in play for the gold stocks. Silver and the silver stocks have lagged in recent weeks but they will perform well if this breakout is sustained as we expect. As the previous chart shows, there is potentially a lot more upside in play for the balance of the year. Be long, sit tight and have an exit strategy (to limit losses) in case things play out differently.

Good Luck!

 


If you'd be interested in learning about the companies poised to outperform the sector, then we invite you to learn more about our service.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment