• 306 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 306 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 308 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 708 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 713 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 715 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 718 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 718 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 719 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 721 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 721 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 725 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 725 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 726 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 728 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 729 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 732 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 733 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 733 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 735 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

The State of the Trend

Despite all the geopolitical turmoil in the last month, and the Fed's continued reduction in asset purchases, the trend for the major averages remains up in the weekly and monthly time frame.

Although the averages have stalled below the highs made at the beginning of March, they all remain above key first tier support levels (1850 for the SPX, 88.5 for the Qs, and 16,000 for the DJIA):

Dow Jones 30 Weekly Chart
Larger Image

As long as these levels hold and don't become resistance, the technical outlook will remain positive.

Bullish sentiment has weakened but still remains above 75%. That level was breached only once during the last two years, and it happened to coincide with the February '14 correction:

Bullish Sentiment versus SPX Chart

You can track some of our market breadth and liquidity indicators on our brand new site (still in beta): otsignals.com

Gold was able to overcome two technical hurdles by breaking above the first downsloping channel and the 50% retracement level of the '08 - '11 bull run. That level is in the process of being retested as support, and needs to hold in order for the technical picture to keep improving.

SPDR Gold Trust Shares Weekly Chart
Larger Image

Silver didn't fare nearly as well as gold, and had a much more modest run. There is very little in terms of technical support that keeps it from retesting the July '13, December '13 and January '14 lows:

iShares Silver Trust Weekly Chart
Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment