• 512 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 512 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 514 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 914 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 919 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 921 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 924 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 924 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 925 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 927 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 927 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 931 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 931 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 932 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 934 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 935 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 938 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 939 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 939 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 941 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Paul Rejczak

Paul Rejczak

Writer, Sunshine Profits

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Stock Trading Alert: Sentiment Worsens But No Confirmation of Trend Reversal Yet

Stock Trading Alert originally published on May 05 , 2014, 8:00 AM:


 

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The main U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.1-0.3% on Friday, retracing some of their recent move up, as investors neglected better-than-expected monthly employment report release. The S&P 500 index got closer to its early April all-time high of 1,897.28, before moving slightly lower. The resistance remains at around 1,880-1,900, and the nearest important level of support is at 1,850, marked by recent local low, among others. For now, it looks like some sort of a flat correction within an uptrend, however, the market remains close to its important resistance levels, as we can see on the daily chart:

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

Expectations before the opening of today's session are negative, with index futures currently down 0.4-0.5%. The European stock market indexes have lost between 1.1% and 1.4% so far, following some worse-than-expected economic data releases, Russia-Ukraine conflict. Investors will now wait for the ISM Services number release at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) is in an intraday downtrend, as it bounced off the resistance at 1,880-1,885. The nearest important support level is at around 1,845-1,855, marked by the recent local lows, as the 15-minute chart shows:

S&P500 15-Minute Chart
Larger Image

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) is in a similar intraday downtrend, as it bounced off the psychological resistance at 3,600. For now, it looks like a correction within a short-term uptrend, as there have been no confirmed reversal signals so far:

NASDAQ 100 Futures Chart
Larger Image

Concluding, the broad stock market is expected to retrace some more of its last-week's gains, as investors react to economic data announcements, negative geopolitical news. However, there have been no confirmed uptrend reversal signals so far and it seems that our profitable long positions will remain such in the coming days.

Thank you.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment