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Paul Rejczak

Paul Rejczak

Writer, Sunshine Profits

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market…

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Stock Trading Alert: Broad Stock Market At New Highs - Investors Take Some Profits, Flat Correction Or Topping Pattern?

Stock Trading Alert originally published on May 29, 2014, 6:58 AM:


 

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,885, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook is now bullish, following a breakout above consolidation:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.1-0.3% yesterday, retracing some of their recent rally, as investors took profits. However, the S&P 500 index has managed to reach yet another new record high at 1,914.46. The nearest important support level is at around 1,880-1,900, marked by previous resistance. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far, as we can see on the daily chart:

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

Expectations before the opening of today's session are virtually flat, with index futures currently up 0.1%. The main European stock market indexes have been mixed between -0.2% and +0.2% so far. Investors will now wait for some economic data announcements: Initial Claims, GDP Second Estimate at 8:30 a.m., Pending Home Sales at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) is in a relatively narrow intraday trading range, following yesterday's quite volatile trade. The nearest important resistance is at 1,910-1,915, and the nearest level of support is at 1,900-1,905. For now, it looks like a flat correction within an uptrend:

S&P500 Chart
Larger Image

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) follows a similar path, as it fluctuates within a relatively narrow trading range. The resistance is at around 3,730, and the nearest important support remains at 3,700-3,710, marked by previous resistance, as the 15-minute chart shows:

NASDAQ 100 Futures Chart
Larger Image

Concluding, the broad stock market is in an uptrend, however, we can see some short-term uncertainty following recent rally. Nevertheless, we continue to maintain our already profitable long position, with stop-loss at 1,885 (S&P 500 index). In other words, we will try to let the profit run.

Thank you.

 

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