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Paul Rejczak

Paul Rejczak

Writer, Sunshine Profits

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market…

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Stock Trading Alert: Pause In A Trend Or Topping Pattern?

Stock Trading Alert originally published on June 12, 2014, 6:49 AM:


 

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains bullish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 0.1% and 0.6% on Wednesday, retracing some of their recent move up, as investors took some profits off the table. The S&P 500 index bounced off the nearest resistance level at around 1,950-1,955, marked by Monday's all-time high of 1,955.55. The nearest important level of support is at 1,940, and the next support is at 1,915-1,925, marked by recent consolidation. For now, it looks like a relatively shallow correction within an uptrend. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far, as we can see on the daily chart:

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

Expectations before the opening of today's session are slightly positive, with index futures currently up 0.1%. The main European stock market indexes have been mixed between 0.0% and +0.2% so far. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) remains slightly below its record highs, as it continues to fluctuate below the resistance of 1,950-1,955. The nearest important level of support is at around 1,940, marked by recent local lows. For now, it looks like a consolidation following recent advance, as the 15-minute chart shows:

S&P500 15-Minute Chart
Larger Image

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) is close to its long-term high, as it extends fluctuations along the level of 3,800. The support level is at around 3,780. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far:

NASDAQ 100 Futures 15-Minute Chart Chart
Larger Image

Concluding, the broad stock market is in a rather flat correction following recent rally. We expect some more upside. Therefore, we continue to maintain our already profitable long position, with stop-loss at 1,910 (S&P 500 index).

Thank you.

 

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