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Almost Time to Backup the Truck and Load up on Silver

Silver Bear

The following is a plausible forecast / prediction

Despite my known disdain for time and price predictions, I base the plausible forecast for an October 2014 generational low in the dollar-denominated value of Silver upon the cyclical duration of a prior elongated bear market that occurred from May 1968 thru November 1971.

Monthly Silver Chart

Back then, the price of Silver declined by more than 50% over the course of 3.46 years. We have already surpassed (-62.57%) the magnitude of the previous decline amid the current bear market, and we are rapidly approaching symmetry with the previous time duration - hence, the probability of a similar cyclical low soon forthcoming.

How low can the dollar-value of Silver go before the next generational bottom is in? - From my perspective, there are three such price targets following a retest and plausible breach of the standing bear-market low at $18.18. The nearest is $16.76, and so long as the price of Silver remains beneath $25.12, the second is $15.15, and the last downside price target we have on record is $13.00.

Daily Siler Chart

Our Long-Term Trend Monitor subscribers have been hedging their physical rather successfully for nearly two-years now. (See below stats)

Long-Term Trend Monitor

Until Next Time,
Trade Better / Invest Smarter

 


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Updated quarterly with unlimited email alerts as market conditions dictate, the Long-Term Trend Monitor provides the exact same type of service - but is dedicated exclusively to the self-directed long-term index investors of the equity and precious metals worlds. It too performs extremely well, and with limited downside risks.

When compared with "going it alone," or employing an exorbitantly commissioned hedge fund for so-so results, especially after fees, the choice should be a rather simple one.

The Chart Cast Pilot and Elliott Wave Technology's Guardian Revere Long-Term Trend Monitor are the proud sponsors of this communication.

 

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