• 658 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 658 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 660 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,060 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,065 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,067 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,070 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,070 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,071 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,073 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,073 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,077 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,077 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,078 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,080 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,081 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,084 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,085 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,085 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,087 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Gold, Oil, Volatility, and the Stock Market

Oil keeps hanging above $60, since November 2003, it has gained 140%! This has occurred without major supply disruption.

S&P500 in a similar period, has gained over 50%. Such gain would have made sense during a major oil correction, but oil is doing the opposite.

Volatility index keeps on getting lower. It's now lower than late 90's when there was no war, no inflation, and no worries.

In my opinion, those analysts who can manage to explain it all without crediting official intervention, can make sense of everything - in hindsight. If one can't prove that earth is round, those analysts can explain how earth is flat too.

Dollar is sacrificed in the process.

The handholding by the fed will stop at some point for one reason or another (my take is likely by a $100 oil price). When the fed stops buying the markets, dollar may shoot up, along with plunging stock and commodity prices. Much like the reverse of what we have in the last 3 years. Clearly, we are not there yet and there is no reason to suggest any change in current conditions.

What about gold? Gold keeps consolidating. Notice the higher lows. At some point after it overcomes a threshold (whether it be $480 or $500, or higher), it will shoot higher like what we have witnessed in copper and oil.

In all, my take is precious metals remains to be the sector with lowest risk. It's at or near historic low measured by oil, copper, the Dow, or just the gold price itself having adjusted for inflation. Investors might have to be patient for a few more months but they shall be handsomely awarded.

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment