• 885 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 886 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 887 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,287 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,292 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,294 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,297 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,297 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,298 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,300 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,300 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,304 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,304 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,305 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,307 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,308 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,311 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,312 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,312 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,314 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Is the Fed about to Ignite the Sell in May and Go Away Trade?

First and foremost most fed meetings are positive for the stock market. The fed usually gives the market what it wants and the markets keep going up and away. The last fed meeting stocks rallied after the fed successfully jaw boned the dollar into submission. Since then stocks have rallied and are encountering major resistance at the top end of their trading ranges.

S&P 500 (^GSPC)

The dollar has sold off close to 5% but has already contributed to very weak quarterly earnings reports from several global powerhouses. With Greece lurking in the shadows any Euro strength may be short lived going forward and a resumption of broader dollar strength is likely.

EUR/USD (EURUSD=X)

This could spell trouble for commodities like gold and oil and other risk assets.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)

United States Oil ETF (USO)

Eventually carry trade liquidation could spread to stock indices, with some recent bastions of strength like the German and Indian markets already showing some cracks.

DAX (^GDAXI)

CNX NIFTY (^NSEI)

Eventually markets will come around to the realization that QE forever polices globally have artificially propped up assset prices and their implosion is just around the corner in a painful and protracted process, with the "Sell in May and Go Away" trade just round the corner.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment