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Noteworthy Break in Bonds

The US Treasury market topped with our upside Exhaustion Alerts in January and then found initial support around the weekly moving averages (30-week average on the long bond and 40- week on the TLT). The bounce was anticipated to provide a selling opportunity in the TLT in the range of 133 to 135. The rally petered out at 132.64 and is now breaking down. The major support will now be at the 100-month moving average around 108 on the TLT. This equates to a 2.7% yield on the 10's and 3.6% on the 30s.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT)

The opinions in this report are solely those of the author. The information herein was obtained from various sources; however we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This research report is prepared for general circulation and is circulated for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.

Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities or futures contracts. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. Moreover, from time to time, members of the Institutional Advisors team may be long or short positions discussed in our publications.

 


April 22, 2015 Technical observations of Ross Clark

 

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