• 526 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 526 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 528 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 928 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 933 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 935 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 938 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 938 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 939 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 941 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 941 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 945 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 945 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 946 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 948 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 949 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 952 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 953 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 953 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 955 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Eleven Crazy Days -- Many More Coming

Twelve months ago the world was happily sailing along in the Great Moderation, with financial markets that moved gracefully higher most of the time but even in their rare negative moments didn't cause too much angst. The eleven trading days leading up to September 3 saw not a single triple-digit move on the Dow, and only three down sessions.

What a difference a year makes. During the same eleven days in 2015 the Dow had exactly one single-digit close -- and eight 200+ point sessions. Stomach-churning descents into the abyss are followed the next day by epic recoveries. The only thing moving in a straight line is volatility.

Dow 2014 versus 2015

This is what the world looks like when things stop working. China's well-oiled, top-down export machine turned out to be the mother of all Ponzi schemes. The Fed is tipping into the next crisis without reloading its interest rate bazooka. The US political process is suddenly interesting in the bad sense of that word. Brazil is not well-run after all. Japan's Abenomics is appearing in headlines with the word "failure".

The markets can't figure out whom to trust -- or indeed if anyone can be trusted. So money is sloshing around looking for a place to hide. One day it's Treasuries, the next day blue chips or tech. But none turn out to be warm, dry and quiet, so the search continues.

If this sounds a lot like 2008 heading into the "one day away from martial law" Wall Street coup, that's because in many respects that time and this one match up perfectly. All that's missing from the present is a stock market crash.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment