• 1,151 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 1,151 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 1,153 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,553 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,558 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,560 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,563 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,563 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,564 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,565 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,566 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,570 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,570 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,571 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,573 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,574 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,577 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,578 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,578 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,580 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Peter Schiff

Peter Schiff

Schiff Gold

Peter Schiff is an economist and investment advisor specializing in the foreign equity, currency, and gold markets. He became internationally known by successfully forecasting the…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

2016 Forecast: An About-Face for the Fed and Gold

Synopsis: The Federal Reserve's December interest rate hike was actually the end of the Fed's tightening cycle that began with the first taper talk several years ago. The Fed will be forced to restart QE and lower interest rates again (maybe even into negative territory) when it becomes clear the US economy is sliding back into recession. When that happens, investors who have been selling gold on expectations of economic health will have to reverse their bets and begin buying as gold rallies.

0:20 - In 2015, the Fed wanted to have its rate-hike cake and eat it too by talking about raising interest rates, but not actually doing it.

0:50 - By December, the Fed had backed itself into a credibility corner. It had no choice but to raise rates to prove it had confidence in the economy and the markets.

1:30 - Since the rate hike, the air is already coming out of the bubble.

2:20 - The Atlanta Fed's estimate for fourth-quarter GDP is just 0.8%. It's possible that number could be negative by the time it's revised.

3:00 - The Fed just blessed the health of the economy, so how will it execute an about-face and maintain its credibility?

3:45 - What does this mean to the price of gold?

4:30 - The first rate hike in December was not the beginning of the tightening cycle.

5:10 - The rally in gold that began when the Fed hiked rates is going to continue and accelerate.

5:45 - Gold is still an incredible buy, because most people are still wedded to the narrative of an economic recovery.

6:30 - The Fed will have to return with quantitative easing, which will trigger the mother of all rallies in gold as investors quickly reverse their bets.

7:35 - Silver is also still very cheap. If the price of gold goes up, then the price of silver is going to go up even more.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment