• 277 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 278 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 279 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 679 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 684 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 686 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 689 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 689 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 690 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 692 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 692 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 696 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 696 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 697 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 699 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 700 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 703 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 704 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 704 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 706 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Portion of US Treasury Yield Curve Inverts

Inversion!

Curve Watchers' Anonymous has had its eyes on the yield curve in expectation that portions of the curve would invert. A small inversion did happen on Tuesday when yield on 6-month treasuries briefly traded at a higher yield than 1-year treasuries.


Bloomberg Screen Shot

US Treasury Yields

I captured the above chart at 5:00PM but similar conditions existed for several hours.


Yield Curve 6-Month to 5-Year

Yild Curve 6-Month to 5-Year Chart

  • Red: 5-Year
  • Blue: 3-Year
  • Green: 2-Year
  • Orange 1-year
  • Purple: 6-Month
  • Brown: 3-Month

I created the above chart in Stockcharts. Alas, Stockcharts uses end-of-day vales only so it appears there is no inversion today. Yesterday the 6-month and 1-year treasuries closed with the same yield.

Those who insist the yield curve needs to invert before a recession can happen, now have that inversion, even if it's a tiny one.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment