• 4 days How To Invest In The Cybersecurity Boom
  • 6 days Investors Are Patient With Unprofitable Giants
  • 8 days Wells Fargo Back In The Scandal Spotlight Once Again
  • 10 days 5 Stocks To Keep A Close Eye On This Year
  • 11 days As Auto Giants Flail, Look To Chip Stocks For Gains
  • 12 days Central America Is Ready For The Bitcoin Hustle
  • 13 days China’s Video Game Restrictions Unlikely To Slow Down Booming Industry
  • 15 days Top Performing Stocks As Inflation Fears Grow
  • 16 days US Airline Stocks Take A Beating On New EU Restrictions
  • 17 days This IPO Could Open Sustainable Fashion Floodgates
  • 18 days Crypto Crime Nets Another $2B Fraudster
  • 19 days This Week’s Hottest Meme Stocks
  • 21 days Why World Markets Should Be Watching Germany Closely
  • 23 days Could ‘Cultured’ Meat Rival The Plant-Based Megatrend?
  • 25 days ‘Easy Money’: Crypto Is Still Attracting Newbie Investors
  • 27 days Foreign Syndicates May Have Stolen Up To $400B In COVID Benefits
  • 28 days Gold Jumps Above $1800 Ahead Of Jackson Hole Summit
  • 28 days International Banks Blacklist Afghanistan Following Taliban Takeover
  • 30 days China’s Tycoons Are Getting A Serious Reality Check
  • 31 days U.S. Cannabis Space Heats Up With Telling Tilray Acquisition
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Joseph Russo

Joseph Russo

Joe Russo is an entrepreneurial publisher and market analyst providing digital online media solutions designed to assist traders and investors in prudently and profitably navigating…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

OIL: As Good As It Gets

Barrels of Oil

In observing the enormous triple digit percentage gains achieved amid Crude Oil's northward thrusts versus its debilitating double digit losses during its major spills, it becomes rather clear why market participants prefer buying low in a newly forming bull market vs. selling short at the onset of a bear market.

On a relative basis, in the not too distant future, a cyclical bottom will form and the long-term trend in Crude will reverse to the upside - providing bullish speculators with yet another rare opportunity at the chance of humongous triple digit upside returns.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, the well-established secular trend dynamics in Crude Oil are rather clear. From a technical standpoint, this is as good as it gets.

Crude Oil Secular Trend

Following a massive 486% run-up, and after cresting at its Cycle-Degree wave V in 2008, the sudden and devastating crash of 08' wiped-out 75% of Crude's value. By mid-2011, just two years later, cresting at only $114 per barrel in that go-round, Crude registered a primary degree B-wave advance north of 200% above its 2008 low of $35.35.

Thereafter, trading in a choppy sideways range through mid-2014, Crude has since succumbed to its primary C-wave decline, which has taken it down to fresh new lows and another 75% wipeout from its previous peak at $114.

Since it is impossible to pinpoint and trade the precise tops and bottoms of each key pivotal Elliott Wave reversal, the only thing to do is attempt to trade and invest in the larger trends defined therein.

These rather elusive tradable-trends are quantifiably defined by a strict and specific set of conditional criteria that mathematically pre-determine when such trend changes are most likely to take place. Far from perfect, this trading and investment strategy is also as good as it gets - bar none.

Crude Oil Weekly Chart

Note how this prudent and unbiased investment strategy has automatically established both long and short positions, which are illustrated directly on the price bars over the last two years.

Also, note the resultant marginal losses and juicy percentage gains reflected in the lower month-to-date equity panel. The most recent short position established July 6, 2014 from a price of $56.42, as of the close on February 2, 2016 - is sporting another juicy gain north of 47%.

If you haven't noticed, we've pretty much stopped writing articles about the markets. Quite honestly, ... Click here to read the balance of this article.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment