• 313 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 313 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 315 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 715 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 720 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 722 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 725 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 725 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 726 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 728 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 728 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 732 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 732 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 733 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 735 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 736 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 739 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 740 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 740 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 742 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Joseph Russo

Joseph Russo

Joe Russo is an entrepreneurial publisher and market analyst providing digital online media solutions designed to assist traders and investors in prudently and profitably navigating…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

OIL: As Good As It Gets

Barrels of Oil

In observing the enormous triple digit percentage gains achieved amid Crude Oil's northward thrusts versus its debilitating double digit losses during its major spills, it becomes rather clear why market participants prefer buying low in a newly forming bull market vs. selling short at the onset of a bear market.

On a relative basis, in the not too distant future, a cyclical bottom will form and the long-term trend in Crude will reverse to the upside - providing bullish speculators with yet another rare opportunity at the chance of humongous triple digit upside returns.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, the well-established secular trend dynamics in Crude Oil are rather clear. From a technical standpoint, this is as good as it gets.

Crude Oil Secular Trend

Following a massive 486% run-up, and after cresting at its Cycle-Degree wave V in 2008, the sudden and devastating crash of 08' wiped-out 75% of Crude's value. By mid-2011, just two years later, cresting at only $114 per barrel in that go-round, Crude registered a primary degree B-wave advance north of 200% above its 2008 low of $35.35.

Thereafter, trading in a choppy sideways range through mid-2014, Crude has since succumbed to its primary C-wave decline, which has taken it down to fresh new lows and another 75% wipeout from its previous peak at $114.

Since it is impossible to pinpoint and trade the precise tops and bottoms of each key pivotal Elliott Wave reversal, the only thing to do is attempt to trade and invest in the larger trends defined therein.

These rather elusive tradable-trends are quantifiably defined by a strict and specific set of conditional criteria that mathematically pre-determine when such trend changes are most likely to take place. Far from perfect, this trading and investment strategy is also as good as it gets - bar none.

Crude Oil Weekly Chart

Note how this prudent and unbiased investment strategy has automatically established both long and short positions, which are illustrated directly on the price bars over the last two years.

Also, note the resultant marginal losses and juicy percentage gains reflected in the lower month-to-date equity panel. The most recent short position established July 6, 2014 from a price of $56.42, as of the close on February 2, 2016 - is sporting another juicy gain north of 47%.

If you haven't noticed, we've pretty much stopped writing articles about the markets. Quite honestly, ... Click here to read the balance of this article.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment