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A Comparison of Current US Stock Market Performance to that in 2008 and 2000

A look back at stock market performance in two major bear market years of 2000 & 2008 reveals some interesting findings:

First lets look at the S&P500 Chart in 2000:

S&P500 2000 Chart

The market dropped 10% to start the year. It proceeded to recover most of its losses by late March failing at prior highs eventually falling over 15% further post August.

Next lets look at the S&P500 Chart in 2008:

S&P500 2008 Chart

The market again dropped 10% to start the year. It proceeded to recover most of its losses by early May and then collapsing over 50% into October.

That brings us to Today's market:

S&P500 2016 Chart

We have again dropped 10% to start the year. If we go by what the market did in 2000 and 2008 we should recover most of these losses by May and then begin a major collapse into August and September following an oversold bounce out of the March 2016 lows.

 

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