• 12 hours Jeff Bezos Doubles Down On Space Colonization Ambitions
  • 18 hours Gold Mining Stocks Stuck In Limbo
  • 1 day Executive Order Targets Huawei Over Espionage
  • 2 days Why Now May Be The Best Time Ever To Hold Gold
  • 2 days Fake News Sinks Shares In UK-Based Bank
  • 3 days De Beers To Build $468 Million Diamond Recovery Ship
  • 3 days Moody's: Turkey Faces Possible Credit Downgrade
  • 3 days Tesla's Solar Sales Are Slipping
  • 3 days Auto Industry To Get Temporary Tariff Relief
  • 4 days Welcome To The World’s Biggest Free Trade Area
  • 4 days Central Banks Are Stockpiling Gold At The Fastest Rate In Half A Decade
  • 4 days U.S.-China Impasse Threatens Rare Earth Trade
  • 4 days Wall Street Bears $1 Trillion Brunt Of Trade War
  • 5 days Mobile Sports Betting Isn’t Quite Minting Millionaires Just Yet
  • 5 days The Marijuana Industry’s Shocking Secret
  • 5 days A Generational Shift Is Quietly Unfolding In The Mining Industry
  • 5 days Pentagon To Pay $6 Billion To Help Build Border Wall
  • 6 days Beijing Backlash: Stocks Slammed, Gold Boosted
  • 6 days Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months
  • 6 days Trader Compares Current Market Environment To 2007
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

How The Credit Markets Will Blow Up During The Coming Silver Rally

During the previous silver bull market, interest rates and silver moved in the same direction (up). This makes sense, given the fact that silver and interest rates move together in the long run - for the last 100 years at least.

The current silver bull market (since 2001) has seen a big divergence between silver prices and interest rates. Below, is a comparison of interest rates and silver prices since 1962:

On the charts, I have shown how interest rates and silver prices have moved together during the first phase of the 70s silver bull market (1971 to 1974), as well as the second phase (1976 to 1980).

Interest Rates versus Silver 1960-Current

I have also marked the big divergence that occurred from 2001 to 2011 (the first phase of the silver bull market). This is the biggest period of divergence over the last 100 years. Since silver and interest rate are positively correlated in the long run, it is almost guaranteed that they will move together (up) during the next phase of the silver bull market.

A spike in interest rates (meaning - a collapse of bonds) will provide an explosive boost to the coming silver rally.

Previously, I have shown how the structure of the 70s silver bull market is similar to the current one. This similarity is also true for interest rates. Again, this makes sense, given the fact that silver and interest rates move together in the long run.

Below, I have done fractal analysis of the 10-year US Treasury Yield, to show that similarity:

10-Year Treasury Yield 1960-Current

On the chart, I have marked similar points (1 to 4) to show how the 70s period is like the current one. If the comparison is valid, then the yield has bottomed (or is close to a bottom), and will eventually break out of the downtrend that has been in place for decades.

This move will most likely collapse the bond markets. A silver price move pass $50 would likely confirm this.

Warm regards,

 


For more on this and this kind of fractal analysis, you are welcome to subscribe to my premium service. I have also recently completed a Silver Fractal Analysis Report as well as a Gold Fractal Analysis Report.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment