• 589 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 590 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 591 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 991 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 996 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 998 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,001 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,001 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,002 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,004 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,004 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,008 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,008 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,009 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,011 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,012 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,015 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,016 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,016 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,018 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

QE Sponsored Stagnation: Productivity Declines Again As Unit Labor Costs Rise 4.1%

Productivity is down 1% in the first quarter of 2016 following a revised 1.7% decline last quarter.

This is the fourth productivity decline in the last six quarters.

Meanwhile unit labor costs are up 4.1% in the first quarter following a revised jump of 2.7% in the fourth quarter of 2015.

The Bloomberg Econoday consensus was -1.2% for productivity and +3.5% for labor costs.

Highlights

The nation's output is slowing despite an increase in hours worked in what is the latest signal of structural weakness for the economy. Productivity fell at an annualized 1.0 percent rate in the first quarter for the 4th decline of the last six quarters.

Output inched only 0.4 percent higher in the quarter despite a 1.5 percent rise in hours worked. Weak output makes for unwanted increases in unit labor costs which jumped 4.1 percent in the quarter for the largest gain since fourth-quarter 2014.

Trouble in output and productivity reflects what have been declines in spending on capital goods, evident in last week's first-quarter GDP report where the business investment component posted its second straight drop. Employment may be strong but the productive capacity of each additional worker is on the decline.


Productivity Trends

US Non-Farm Labour Productivity


Productivity vs. Labor Costs

Productivity vs. Labor Costs


Curious Thing

Paying people more does not get them to produce more.

Actually, what's going on is pretty clear even though economists have not yet figured it out.


QE Sponsored Stagnation and Cannibalization

Loosey-goosey monetary policy and low interest rates led to a proliferation of retail businesses, mall construction, fast food places that would not have been built in the absence of over-stimulation.

Those stores are now competing against each other. Frequently stores cannibalize their own sales.


Pick Your Poison

To achieve 2006 productivity, Study Says 20% of Mall Space Should Close.

If 20% of mall space closed, guess what that would do to employment. And if we stay on the same course, guess what happens to profits.

Meanwhile, the push for higher minimum wages is on.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment