• 2 days The Gold Rally Has Finally Run Out Of Steam
  • 2 days Citibank Analyst Predicts $300k Bitcoin By End Of 2021
  • 5 days Bitcoin Lives Up To Its Safe Haven Status In A Big Way
  • 5 days 14 Million People Will Lose Unemployment Benefits On December 31st
  • 7 days Why 12 Million American Millionaires Isn’t Good News
  • 8 days Big Oil Is Paying The Price For Investing In Renewables
  • 9 days The Banking Industry’s $35 Billion Gravy Train Could Disappear
  • 10 days Did Amazon Just Democratize Prescription Drugs?
  • 11 days The Private Space Race Just Got Very Real
  • 13 days Short Sellers Are Willing Big In This Turbulent Market
  • 14 days SpaceX Gets Go-Ahead To Send Humans Into Space
  • 15 days Saudi Arabia Lost $27 Billion In Oil Crash
  • 16 days China’s Big Tech Takes A Hit As Regulators Crack Down
  • 17 days Black Friday Could Be Retailers’ Only Hope
  • 18 days Why You Should Not Dump Your Stay At Home Stocks Just Yet
  • 19 days The Real Reason Why Uber And Lyft Stocks Have Soared Nearly 50%
  • 21 days Bitcoin Heads Towards $16,000 And No One’s Cashing In
  • 22 days Elon Musk’s $250 Tesla Tequila Is Already Sold Out
  • 23 days Will The San Francisco Wealth Tax Spark An Exodus Of The Rich?
  • 24 days The Fin-Tech IPO Of The Century Just Got Crushed
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

5-Year Cycle?

My own observations of a 4 year cycle show a very consistent low in the Dow every four years. In 1962 the cycle expanded to five years and in 1978 it contracted to three years.

The bull market from 2002 never provided a low that could be considered a cycle low and an important high was seen five years later in 2007. That was followed by a significant low four years later in 2011.

That has left the next cycle inflection point in question; a high or low? Four or five years? The Dow did print a low in September 2015 and, while not as significant as most lows, it could be considered a 4 year low.

However, equities have now reached the time period where we would expect a high if a five year cycle high is the correct answer to our questions. We won't know for a few months but it is certainly worth remembering that the possibility exists.

5-Year Cycle
Larger Image

 


Take a "sneak-peek" at Seattle Technical Advisors by clicking here.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment