• 32 mins Miners Are Weathering The Trade War Storm
  • 4 hours UK Credit Card Interest Rates Are Skyrocketing
  • 21 hours From Frenzy To Flop, The Death Of This Year’s Most Hyped IPO
  • 1 day Are Smart TVs Spying On Us?
  • 1 day Is Fossil Fuel Divestment A Waste Of Time?
  • 2 days A Russian Billionaire’s Space Quest To Save Humanity
  • 2 days Markets Take Breather As Consolidation Continues
  • 2 days Economic Woes Weigh On Copper Prices
  • 2 days World's Largest IPO At Risk Following Drone Strikes
  • 3 days Gold Is Beating Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway
  • 3 days What’s Behind The Silver Sell-Off?
  • 3 days The Retail Apocalypse Is Accelerating
  • 3 days The Top Tech Stocks Of The Year
  • 4 days America’s Workforce Elderly Workforce To Double By 2028
  • 4 days Toyota Tests Solar-Powered Prius
  • 5 days Why The Gold Rally Flatlined
  • 5 days The Uranium Sector Can’t Catch A Break
  • 6 days Upcoming Fed Meeting Has Investors On Edge
  • 6 days Global Gold Sector Outlines Responsible Mining Principles
  • 7 days China’s Giant Vampire Fund Loses $120B
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

5-Year Cycle?

My own observations of a 4 year cycle show a very consistent low in the Dow every four years. In 1962 the cycle expanded to five years and in 1978 it contracted to three years.

The bull market from 2002 never provided a low that could be considered a cycle low and an important high was seen five years later in 2007. That was followed by a significant low four years later in 2011.

That has left the next cycle inflection point in question; a high or low? Four or five years? The Dow did print a low in September 2015 and, while not as significant as most lows, it could be considered a 4 year low.

However, equities have now reached the time period where we would expect a high if a five year cycle high is the correct answer to our questions. We won't know for a few months but it is certainly worth remembering that the possibility exists.

5-Year Cycle
Larger Image

 


Take a "sneak-peek" at Seattle Technical Advisors by clicking here.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment