• 45 mins The Dairy Industry Is Dying
  • 7 hours The Most Impressive Electric Vehicle Of The Year
  • 1 day Gold Miners Are Having A Stellar Second Half
  • 2 days How 3D Printing Is Turning Each And Every Industry On Its Head
  • 2 days Is The $3.5 Trillion Healthcare Industry About To Get Much More Transparent?
  • 3 days Gamblers Are Betting Big On Trump’s Impeachment
  • 3 days Even Banks Can't Answer Aramco's Trillion Dollar Question
  • 4 days Will Bezos Buy The Seattle Seahawks?
  • 4 days 6 Tech Trends Transforming The Travel Industry
  • 5 days Ousted Uber CEO Cashes Out $500 Million In Stock
  • 5 days Trump Prepares For Another Key Tariff Decision
  • 5 days The Free Money Bubble Is About To Burst
  • 6 days The Crushing Reality Of Poverty In America
  • 6 days Should You Buy Into The World’s Largest IPO?
  • 6 days The Infinite Possibilities Of Cosmic Energy
  • 7 days Analysts Link Walking To Economic Growth
  • 8 days Will Japan Turn Its Back On The Aramco IPO?
  • 9 days Global Debt Soars To $188 Trillion
  • 9 days The World's Largest Gold Miners Are Getting Creative
  • 10 days Twitter: The Saudi Spy Tool To Bring Down Dissidents
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Correction Over, Gold and Gold Stocks Eyeing New Highs

In a bull market corrections can end quickly. One minute you are projecting another 5-10% downside and the next, the market has left lower prices in the dust. A negative reaction to the Federal Reserve statement could have caused lower prices but instead Gold and gold stocks are now primed for new highs. Fundamentally, we know the Fed will do nothing to prevent real rates from remaining negative. Since the trend has turned, Gold and gold stocks have mostly ignored the moronic, empty drivel emanating from these supposed geniuses. Moreover, despite reports of increased potential for a rate hike in September, weakness in precious metals abated and buyers returned.

The hourly chart below reveals that the correction in the gold stocks was simply a retest of the July breakout from the upward sloping reverse head and shoulders pattern (in May and June). The strong rebound over the past few days allows us to deem the retest successful.

VanEck Gold Miners and Junior Gold Miners 60-Minute Charts

The weekly chart shows the same retest but also how the correction served as a retest of the breakout past the 2014 highs. The arrows mark the 2014 highs and the earlier low of this week. Our minimum downside targets were GDX $27 and GDXJ $41-$42. GDX touched $27 while GDXJ's low came at $43.

VanEck Gold Miners and Junior Gold Miners Weekly Charts

Gold has also successfully retested its breakout. We thought it could come back to a minimum of $1300 and as low as $1280. Gold bottomed at $1310 this week and is set to close the week and the month well above $1330-$1335 resistance. Moreover, the strength in the miners since Wednesday reinforces that Gold will likely follow.

Summing it up, the correction is over and Gold and gold stocks could threaten new highs in August. A few weeks of consolidation near recent highs would not be bearish though. There are just too many people on the sidelines waiting to get in this market. They have been fooled by the CoT, the US Dollar rally or the meme that miners have gained too much too fast and need a big correction. Our views are always subject to change but we continue to see Gold reaching $1500-$1550 before any counter trend move. That implies plenty more gains in the miners in the weeks and months to come.

 


For professional guidance in riding the uptrend in Gold, consider learning more about our premium service including our favorite junior miners which we expect to outperform in the second half of 2016.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment