• 266 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 271 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 273 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 276 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 276 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 277 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 279 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 279 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 283 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 283 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 284 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 286 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 287 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 290 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 291 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 291 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 293 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  • 294 days Europe’s Economy Is On The Brink As Putin’s War Escalates
  • 297 days What’s Causing Inflation In The United States?
  • 298 days Intel Joins Russian Exodus as Chip Shortage Digs In
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Bond Sentiment Extreme near a Cycle Turning Point

The Department of the YTreasury 1789

Bond Sentiment will lead to a Cycle Turn

The Bond market has obviously been in a strong rally since the April Investor Cycle Low (ICL). History teaches, however, that even during solid bull market moves, corrections into major Cycle Lows are a normal part of the Cycle flow process.

And this is where we find Bonds today. The Commitment of Traders report shows a massive Long speculative position, while overall Bond Sentiment remains sky-high. Weekly Cycle timing is well into its topping range, and the 4th Daily Cycle (shown below) is beginning to struggle. I would never count Bonds out, at least until we see a failed Daily Cycle, but I am starting to believe that a new down leg in Bonds is almost upon us.

A technical caution – if price were to move higher and exceed the current day 6 high, a bullish continuation is possible. For the bulls, loss of the 10-day moving average would be extremely negative, as it would signal a potential downturn and Left Translated Daily Cycle.

TLT Daily Chart

 


The Financial Tap – Premium

The Financial Tap publishes two member reports per week, a weekly premium report and a midweek market update report. The reports cover the movements and trading opportunities of the Gold, S&P, Oil, $USD, US Bond’s, and Natural Gas Cycles. Along with these reports, members enjoy access to two different portfolios and trade alerts. Both portfolios trade on varying time-frames (from days, weeks, to months), there is a portfolio to suit all member preferences.

NOTE: The Financial Tap offers you a Full 14 day, no risk, money back Trial. It’s just $99 thereafter for a full 3 months of membership, a fraction of what one stopped out trade is likely to cost you. Consider joining The Financial Tap and receive two reports per week and the education you need to become a better trader or investor See >> SIGN UP PAGE!

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment