• 315 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 315 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 317 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 717 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 722 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 724 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 727 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 727 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 728 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 730 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 730 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 734 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 734 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 735 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 737 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 738 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 741 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 742 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 742 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 744 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Late Friday Night Charts...Precious Metals Markets: Zoom Out

When looking at the short term minute charts things look very volatile in the precious metals complex but the further you look back in time the less volatile the price action becomes. If one is a day trader then the minute charts are the ones to focus in on but if you're an intermediate term trader perspective is everything.

Looking at the five year weekly combo chart below the precious metals complex has been building out a beautiful uptrend since the January 2016 low. There is nothing on any of these three charts that suggests a top is in place and it's time to sell.  The thin black dashed horizontal lines taken from the previous highs is our first line in the sand for support. Note the left side of the chart and how the thin black dashed horizontal lines held resistance when they were broken to the downside which is bear market action. What we have since January is bull market price action.

If one had tried to buy any of these three sectors during the impulse move down out of the 2012 top to the June 2013 low for a counter trend rally, they would have been crushed like a bug against the windshield of a car. Even if I gave you the exact low could you have reversed back to the short side in time to protect any of the small profits you may have made? Looking at the price action since the January 2016 low, how many traders do you think have won big shorting this new bull market?

The golden rule is, don't buy a bear market and don't short a bull market. There are always exceptions to the rule but for the little guy, that doesn't understand how the markets work,  it's like taking candy from a baby, for those that truly understand how the most difficult game on the planet works.

HUI Falling Wedge Weekly Chart
Larger Image

Below is the inverse H&S combo chart for the HUI, GLD and SLV. Think of the necklines as your line in the sand, above is bullish and below is bearish. Until they're breached to the downside I have to remain a bull and everything else is noise. It doesn't have to be complicated.  Have a great weekend and all the best...Rambus

HUI Head and Shoulders Weekly Chart
Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment