• 13 hours Putin Signs “Digital Iron Curtain” Into Law
  • 16 hours Russian Metals Magnate Sues U.S. Over Sanctions
  • 19 hours Tesla Looks To Jump Into Indian Market
  • 21 hours Global Banks Lay Groundwork To Re-Inflate Asset Prices
  • 2 days Homeowners Experiment With Risky New Investment Trend
  • 2 days U.S. Tech Stocks Look Increasingly Vulnerable
  • 2 days De Beers To Expand World’s Most Profitable Diamond Mine
  • 2 days Ford CEO Gets Raise After Massive Layoff Round
  • 3 days Germany’s Flirtation With Recession Could Cripple The Global Economy
  • 3 days Where To Look As Gold Miners Inch Higher
  • 4 days Google Faces Billions In Fines From European Regulators
  • 4 days The Energy Industry Has A Millennial Problem
  • 5 days Russian Banks Scramble For Sanction Loopholes
  • 5 days Gold ETFs Take A Hit After Four-Month Run
  • 6 days European Union Takes Aim At Ten New Tax Havens
  • 6 days Goldman Defends Trillion-Dollar Corporate Buyback Spree
  • 6 days $600 Billion At Risk As Boeing Fallout Continues
  • 6 days Venezuela Has Yet Another Crisis Developing
  • 7 days Wells Fargo Accused Of “Ongoing Lawlessness”
  • 7 days Hollywood Agency Returns $400M Investment To Saudi Wealth Fund
Lending: The Good, Bad, And Ugly

Lending: The Good, Bad, And Ugly

Aristotle said, “The most hated…

The Chatroom Cartel Running Global Bond Markets

The Chatroom Cartel Running Global Bond Markets

Eight major banks have been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

How Extreme Oversold Markets Can Be Profitable

The trading week was starting to look as though it was going to end without any excitement. Wow, did that ever change on Friday!

On Wednesday Aug 24th, the stock market sold off to a level which I consider to be an extreme oversold condition for the week. While I do have several criteria as to why and how I come to the conclusion, the chart and indicator below show me when the market is oversold and ready for a bounce.

The green shaded areas on the bar chart are oversold extremes. Wed, Aug 24th the SP500 closed at this extreme. The following day the market struggled to find support but eventually did with the big pop in price on Friday.

You will also notice the red line indicator near the top of the chart. This is a little volume ratio I use to help confirm when the market is getting overbought and profits should be taken.

S&P E-mini Futures 30-Minute Chart


Second Oversold Confirming Indicator - Price Spike

Not only was the market oversold based on my proprietary indicator above, but the market also flashed us a post-market price spike. I have talked about these many times before and how it's the market giving us insight into where the computers are likely to run the market or at least try to run the market in the next 48 hours. In less than two days the spike was filled for us to pocket another winning momentum trade.

S&P E-mini Futures 10-Minute Chart


Extreme Markets Conclusion:

In short, as traders we need to trade what see not think. It is easy to have market bias, meaning you want it to go in one direction and you favor your thinking and analysis that way. If you can completely avoid doing this, you will be highly profitable as a trader.

I see this time and time again, when the market gets oversold/overbought, or flashes us a price spike just before some news event. Its tough trading in front of pending news, but 80% of the time these moves play out just as expected.

The last big FED talk, gold flashed spike up a day before the news and it played out in a big way. This week both the SPY and GLD spiked up a day before and both reached their spike targets Friday big fast profits. I will post the gold spike on my blog this weekend.

 


Follow my Analysis, Forecasts and ETF Trades at: www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment