• 1 day How To Invest In The Cybersecurity Boom
  • 3 days Investors Are Patient With Unprofitable Giants
  • 5 days Wells Fargo Back In The Scandal Spotlight Once Again
  • 7 days 5 Stocks To Keep A Close Eye On This Year
  • 9 days As Auto Giants Flail, Look To Chip Stocks For Gains
  • 9 days Central America Is Ready For The Bitcoin Hustle
  • 11 days China’s Video Game Restrictions Unlikely To Slow Down Booming Industry
  • 12 days Top Performing Stocks As Inflation Fears Grow
  • 13 days US Airline Stocks Take A Beating On New EU Restrictions
  • 14 days This IPO Could Open Sustainable Fashion Floodgates
  • 15 days Crypto Crime Nets Another $2B Fraudster
  • 17 days This Week’s Hottest Meme Stocks
  • 19 days Why World Markets Should Be Watching Germany Closely
  • 21 days Could ‘Cultured’ Meat Rival The Plant-Based Megatrend?
  • 23 days ‘Easy Money’: Crypto Is Still Attracting Newbie Investors
  • 24 days Foreign Syndicates May Have Stolen Up To $400B In COVID Benefits
  • 25 days Gold Jumps Above $1800 Ahead Of Jackson Hole Summit
  • 26 days International Banks Blacklist Afghanistan Following Taliban Takeover
  • 27 days China’s Tycoons Are Getting A Serious Reality Check
  • 29 days U.S. Cannabis Space Heats Up With Telling Tilray Acquisition
Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Stock Buybacks Fueling the Stock Market? By How Much?

Here's the question of the day: are corporate stock buybacks fueling the stock market?

Let's look at a couple of charts and a news report to help determine the answer.


Quarterly Stock Buybacks

Quarterly New Stock Buybacks

Stock buybacks are at a nine-quarter low according to an Email TrimTabs press announcement.

"Buybacks have been trending lower for the past two years, which is a cautionary longer-term signal for U.S. equities," said Winston Chua, analyst at TrimTabs. "Along with central bank asset purchases, buybacks have been a key pillar of support for the bull market."

"The U.S. stock market isn't likely to get as much of a boost from buybacks as it did in recent years," noted Chua. "Apart from big tech firms and the too-big-to-fails, fewer companies seem willing to use lots of cash to support share prices."

There are numerous references to that announcement, but until now, nobody checked to see if the relationship was in fact true.


S&P 500 vs. Volume Lows in Share Buybacks

S%P500 versus Volume Lows in New Buybacks

If there is a relationship, I fail to see what it is, at least by looking at the chart.

That does not mean there is no relationship. Rather, it does not show up.

Logic would dictate that share buybacks lower P/E ratios thereby boosting earnings, making stocks look more reasonably priced.

But if reasonable P/E logic was in play, P/E's would not be as ridiculous as they are. Then again, Wall Street charlatans point buybacks and forward P/Es as evidence the stock market is cheap.


Competing Theories

  1. Stock buybacks are still sufficient to fuel the stock market
  2. Something else is happening, such as another Fed-sponsored mania

#2 is a given. #1 certainly doesn't hurt. But market sentiment is so strong now, stock buybacks just may not matter much at all.

When stock market sentiment turns, I strongly suspect buyback announcements will be meaningless.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment