• 317 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 317 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 319 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 718 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 723 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 725 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 728 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 729 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 729 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 731 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 731 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 735 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 736 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 736 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 739 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 739 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 742 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 743 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 743 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 745 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Are Corporate Bondholders Chopped Liver?

U.S. nonfinancial corporations have enjoyed a surge in internal funds (book profits plus depreciation minus accrued taxes and dividends paid) in recent quarters. As shown in Chart 1, nonfinancial corporate internal funds in the third quarter soared to 125% of capital expenditures - a near record high. That is, corporations generated a lot of cash in the third quarter relative to their spending on capital goods and inventories.

Chart 1

Now, you would think that with all this "excess" cash being generated by Corporate America in recent quarters, it would not be tapping the credit markets for many funds. But, although nonfinancial corporate borrowing edged a touch lower in the third quarter, it has been trending up toward the highs of the late 1990s (see Chart 2). Moreover, corporate borrowing relative to capital outlays also has been trending higher again.

Chart 2

Why isn't Corporate America paying down debt if it is flush with cash and not on capital spending sprees? Perhaps because if it cut back on its borrowing, it might not be able to retire as much equity. Chart 3 shows that nonfinancial corporations retired their equities at a record annual pace of $446.2 billion in the third quarter. So, just as it was in the late 1990s, it is once again all about the stockholders, with the bondholders being relegated to chopped liver. When economic growth downshifts in 2006 and so does corporate profit growth, corporate bondholders may start to feel a little exposed. With less cash being generated by corporations with which to buy back shares, even stockholders may begin to feel a bit exposed.

Chart 3

It has come to my attention that some readers think that it is a misnomer to call my quasi-weekly essay "Positive Economic Commentary" given its sometimes negative spin on economic and financial market developments. Of course, the term "positive" is meant to connote the opposite of normative, as implied in the subtitle, "The economics of what is, rather than what you would like it to be." But here in the economic research department of The Northern Trust Company, we aim to please. Therefore, I am announcing a contest to rename this commentary. The person submitting the best title in the opinion of the judges (me) gets a one-year free email subscription to the commentary. The person submitting the worst title gets a lifetime subscription.

Happy Festivus, the holiday for the rest of us.

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment