Commodity Prices

Gold •708 days	2,368.70	+35.30	+1.51%
Platinum •20 mins	1,724.70	+59.00	+3.54%
WTI Crude •11 mins	85.77	-1.94	-2.21%
Gasoline •11 mins	3.048	-0.054	-1.73%
Ethanol •708 days	2.161	+0.000	+0.00%
Silver •708 days	30.82	+1.16	+3.92%

Silver • 708 days	30.82	+1.16	+3.92%
Copper • 708 days	4.530	+0.111	+2.51%
Brent Crude • 30 mins	90.38	-2.72	-2.92%
Natural Gas • 11 mins	3.080	-0.007	-0.23%
Heating Oil • 11 mins	3.454	-0.059	-1.67%

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Outlook 2017

By - Jan 09, 2017, 8:39 AM CST

With 2017 approaching fast, we are perplexed by the faith that investors have placed in the current narrative, namely Trump + US Presidency = global wealth. This equation fails on so many levels, it is hard to know where to start. Our outlook for 2017 is contrarian in that we have limited belief in the ability of Trump as president to perform the fiscal and tax reform miracle - even with a Republican dominated house and senate - and thereby unleash growth, as vaunted in his tweets. Without the Trump-reflation trade, US economic acceleration becomes more controlled and the Fed normalization path becomes less steep. From a relative value standpoint, this allows other nations to catch up. This year will not be about total domination in USD and US assets, but general global reflation and rogue bouts of politically driven uncertainty.

Outlook 2017