Short term GBPJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the decline from 5/10 high shows a 5 swing sequence, thus favoring more downside. Decline from 5/10 high is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 5/10 peak (148.11), Minor wave W ended at 141.47 and Minor wave X ended at 143.96. Minor wave Y is currently in progress and has scope to retest 4/16 low (135.58). Support can be seen at 135.7 – 137.3 area for at least 3 waves bounce.
Subdivision of Minor wave Y is proposed to be unfolding as a triple three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 6/1 peak (143.96), Minute wave ((w)) ended at 140.68, Minute wave ((x)) ended at 142.77, Minute wave ((y)) ended at 139.52 and Minute second wave ((x)) is in progress as a flat and expected to complete at 140.2 – 14.1.2 area. While near term bounce stays below 142.75, and more importantly below 143.95, expect pair to extend lower. We don’t like buying the pair.
GBPJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
(Click to enlarge)