• 3 days Big Business’ New COVID Initiative: No Jab, No Job
  • 5 days The Most Interesting Stocks Of Earnings Season, For Better or Worse
  • 7 days Chinese Stocks Rebound After Regulatory Scare
  • 9 days Apple Stocks Falls After Blowout Earnings Report
  • 9 days The 5 Biggest IPO Disasters Of 2021
  • 10 days Crypto-Based ‘Shadow Financial Market’ Spooks Regulators
  • 13 days Ireland Balks At Biden’s Global Tax Plan
  • 16 days Robinhood To Trade On Nasdaq Targeting $32B Valuation
  • 19 days Facial Recognition Is Watching You
  • 21 days Biden’s $3.5T ‘Human Infrastructure’ Workaround
  • 21 days The Fed’s $3 Trillion Headache
  • 24 days Why Bitcoin Could Struggle To Recover After Epic Crash
  • 24 days Wells Fargo Back In The Spotlight Over Personal Loan Cancellations
  • 25 days Delta Variant Real Threat To Economic Recovery
  • 28 days JEDI Drama Continues With Microsoft Contract Cut
  • 30 days DiDi Shares Take a Beating From Chinese Regulators
  • 31 days Thousands Of Companies Hit In Latest Ransomware Attack
  • 31 days Jobs Report Has Big Numbers, But Still Big Problems
  • 32 days Robinhood’s ‘Mission’ Questioned in $70M Fine
  • 35 days Didi Just Went Public, And Uber Is Loving It
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Oversold XLE into Seasonal Low

Oversold XLE into Seasonal Low

Technical observations of Ross.Clark@ChartWorks.ca
Originally sent to subscribers on February 11, 2018

We reported on the upside Exhaustion Alert in the big cap oils (XLE) on January 11th, anticipating a pullback into the normal seasonal low in February with the possibility of two legs to the downside. Prices continued higher for another ten days, but with bearish divergences in the money flow oscillators. Needless to say, the break has been more than normal. Downside Capitulation Alerts have been generated as of Friday. These follow a daily Sequential 9 Buy Setup. A 40% to 50% retracement of the decline, back to the 50-day moving averages within three to six weeks would be the normal action.

XLE

Seasonally, the XLE tends to bottom around the 20th of February and rally for eight weeks (profitable 14 of the 18 years). The most reliable moves have been when the price has been oversold in the preceding weeks. This year clearly offers that set of circumstances.

 

Opinions in this report are solely those of the author. The information herein was obtained from various sources; however, we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This research report is prepared for general circulation and is circulated for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.

Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities or options or futures contracts. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. Moreover, from time to time, members of the Institutional Advisors team may be long or short positions discussed in our publications.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment