• 407 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 408 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 409 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 809 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 814 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 816 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 819 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 819 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 820 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 822 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 822 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 826 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 826 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 827 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 829 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 830 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 833 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 834 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 834 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 836 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Long Term Bonds: A Dangerous Investment To Own

Summary Statement:

Those holding long term bonds, especially long term government bonds, are experiencing a rapid dilution of their wealth. A sound investment alternative to bonds is a gold base portfolio.

1) Those holding long term government bonds during March 2006, experienced a very negative total rate of return as can be seen when one examines the performance of iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond, Symbol TLT, which is an ETF based upon long term government bonds,

On March 1-2006, TLT paid a dividend of $0.32 based upon a share price of $90.14 and then on April 3-2006 paid a dividend of $0.328 on a share price of $86.57 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=TLT&a=02&b=1&c=2006&d=03&e=3&f=2006&g=d

By holding TLT, for the month of March 2006, one earned $0.328 interest on a share price of $86.57 yet lost principle of $3.57 on one's original $90.14 investment.

The loss of principle in just one month was 3.96% of ones investment ($3.57 divided by $90.14).

2) Those invested in the contrarian-bond Rydex Juno (Symbol RYJUX) during March 2006, experienced a 5.68 percent return.

By holding, RYJUX for the month of March 2006, one's investment rose from $18.64 to $19.70, that is, a rise of $1.06 which represents a rise of 5.68 percent in one month based on one's investment of $18.64. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=RYJUX&a=02&b=1&c=2006&d=03&e=3&f=2006&g=d

3) A graph of RYJUX vs TLT http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=3m&s=RYJUX&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=tlt as of April 17, 2006 for the 90 day period of January 17, 2006 to April 17, 2006 shows long term government bond holders lost 8% of their wealth in just 90 days while investors in the contrarian-bond fund Rydex Juno increased their wealth by 12%.

4) Those holding corporate bonds are fairing better than those holding long-term government bonds, but nevertheless, corporate bond holders are experiencing a dilution of their wealth as well.

LQW, iShares GS $ InvesTop Corporate Bond, is an ETF based upon long term corporate bonds.

The graph of LQW versus TLT, shows that long term corporate bonds decreased 4% compared to 8% for long term government bonds for the period of January 17th, 2006 to April 17th, 2006. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=3m&s=LQD&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=TLT

5) An investment alternative to bonds is a gold base portfolio. There exists three sound ways of investing in gold:

1) The first, Gold based ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds): These increase with a price rise of gold. ETFs are funds, that is, investment funds like mutual funds, whose value corresponds to the underlying value of a group of stocks or a commodity. For example there is the SPY whose value is based upon the S&P 500; and GLD and IAU whose value are based upon gold.

streetTRACKS Gold Shares; Publicly traded symbol is GLD
http://www.streettracksgoldshares.com/index.php?noMsg=true

2) The second, pooled ownership of gold:

Kitco Pool Account
http://online.kitco.com/sellprice/selling.html

3) Third, one's gold stored in a vault:

Bullion Vault
http://www.bullionvault.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment