• 681 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 681 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 683 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,082 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,087 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,089 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,092 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,093 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,093 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,095 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,095 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,099 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,100 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,100 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,103 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,103 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,106 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,107 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,107 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,109 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies,…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

No Bottom Yet...According to Intermediate Charts

A relatively impressive recovery rally during the final 30 minutes of trading, or was it? In fact, based on the pattern carved-out by the Q's, no upside reversal was recorded.

The Q's certainly "looped" down again to retest this morning's low at 47.43, which held the onslaught (at 47.47), and which has helped turn the price structure to the upside for another run at key near term resistance at 48.50/65. But unless and until that resistance area is hurdled, I will not venture into the long side of the Q's. Why?

Because my work is warning me that despite what appears to be an intraday Double Bottom amidst improved RSI momentum readings, the intermediate term technical work likely is calling the directional shots here.

In other words, until my intermediate term work shows signs of bottoming, it is just too risky to establish counter-trend long positions based on my near term work.

Looking at the S&P 500's equivalent ETF, the SPY, the current very negative juxtaposition of the 9 & 20 day AMAs shows a "Double Negative Crossover" for the first time during the entire year-long "topping" process in the SPY. By that I mean that since the Oct. 11th high at 157.52, the 9 day AMA has crossed below the 20 day AMA twice without confirming an intervening positive crossover rally phase.

This "double negative" juxtposition of the AMAs argues for more acute weakness than the prior declines in July-Aug and in Oct- Nov. My optimal next target zone for the SPY decline is 136.20-135.80 -- if the current decline holds equidistance in comparison with the Oct-Nov decline (16.86 points).

Let's notice, however, that the target zone is beneath a 10-month support plateau, which could be extremely problematic for would-be bulls looking to establish long positions into an intermediate-term swing objective.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment